The table below only includes figures for new registrations for full Battery Electric Vehicles BEV from stats.beepbeep.ie
Hybrids including Plug-in Hybrid EV PHEV and not included.
Imports from GB and NI not included as they have reduced to a small number and would not be a significant feature of future figures unless a zero% Vat rate was applied to stimulate those imports.
2014 to 2021 are actual figures from stats.beepbeep.ie and have an average year on year increase of 80%. Below estimates an 80% increase in 2022 but dropping off by 10% each year to a ceiling of 100k BEV in 2028. By 2028 manufacturers should only be selling EVs and incentives should target BEV exclusively by then.
If that 100k ceiling maintained then 1 million BEV would be on irish roads by 2033. 20 to 25% may buy new BEVs below every few years. Those will only be recycled to replace remaining ICE fleet if a scrappge scheme and a 2nd-hand grant from approved dealers introduced to swap out existing ICE, PHEV and Hybrids.
EVBnb.ie are running a survey where 157 respondents have addressed some of the issues reaching targets below such as
- on-street chargers for renters and those without option to install home-chargers
- 2nd-hand grants from approved dealers
- gov EV loan schemes
- scrappage schemes
| No new BEV registrations | yearly increase | ||
| 2014 | 221 | ||
| 2015 | 466 | 111% | |
| 2016 | 392 | -16% | |
| 2017 | 622 | 59% | |
| 2018 | 1,233 | 98% | |
| 2019 | 3,444 | 179% | |
| 2020 | 4,013 | 17% | |
| 2021 | 8,646 | 115% | Average increase 2014 to 2021 = 80% |
| 2022 | 15,563 | 80% | |
| 2023 | 26,457 | 70% | |
| 2024 | 42,331 | 60% | |
| 2025 | 63,496 | 50% | |
| 2026 | 88,895 | 40% | |
| 2027 | 100,000 | 12% | |
| 2028 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| 2029 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| 2030 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| 2031 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| 2032 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| 2033 | 100,000 | 0% | |
| Total | 955,778 |