The table below only includes figures for new registrations for full Battery Electric Vehicles BEV from stats.beepbeep.ie
Hybrids including Plug-in Hybrid EV PHEV and not included.
Imports from GB and NI not included as they have reduced to a small number and would not be a significant feature of future figures unless a zero% Vat rate was applied to stimulate those imports.
2014 to 2021 are actual figures from stats.beepbeep.ie and have an average year on year increase of 80%. Below estimates an 80% increase in 2022 but dropping off by 10% each year to a ceiling of 100k BEV in 2028. By 2028 manufacturers should only be selling EVs and incentives should target BEV exclusively by then.
If that 100k ceiling maintained then 1 million BEV would be on irish roads by 2033. 20 to 25% may buy new BEVs below every few years. Those will only be recycled to replace remaining ICE fleet if a scrappge scheme and a 2nd-hand grant from approved dealers introduced to swap out existing ICE, PHEV and Hybrids.
EVBnb.ie are running a survey where 157 respondents have addressed some of the issues reaching targets below such as
- on-street chargers for renters and those without option to install home-chargers
- 2nd-hand grants from approved dealers
- gov EV loan schemes
- scrappage schemes
|No new BEV registrations||yearly increase|
|2021||8,646||115%||Average increase 2014 to 2021 = 80%|